<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Capital Flows: Trade Write-Ups]]></title><description><![CDATA[These reports detail specific trades I’m executing, grounded in both the macro research and alpha strategies. Each report will break down the rationale behind the trade, the timing, risk management, scenario analysis, and redundancy planning to ensure a comprehensive approach to managing both risk and reward.]]></description><link>https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/s/trades</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vifO!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffeddfb10-4e40-4262-a13b-55403e558f18_1024x1024.png</url><title>Capital Flows: Trade Write-Ups</title><link>https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/s/trades</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Sat, 19 Sep 2026 22:06:09 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Capital Flows]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[capitalflows@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[capitalflows@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Capital Flows]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Capital Flows]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[capitalflows@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[capitalflows@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Capital Flows]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Trade Write-Up: HYPD and SONN Update - Video Breakdown ]]></title><description><![CDATA[Update on the large gain from the winning trade]]></description><link>https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/trade-write-up-hypd-and-sonn-update</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/trade-write-up-hypd-and-sonn-update</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Capital Flows]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2025 20:31:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p1a4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8f5f86e-88f8-4013-8e2f-fa55a254c814_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1>Trade Write-Up: HYPD and SONN Update</h1>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trade Write-Up: Big Bet, HYPD Update, And New Trade]]></title><description><![CDATA[The convergence of finance and crypto]]></description><link>https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/trade-write-up-big-bet-hypd-update</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/trade-write-up-big-bet-hypd-update</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Capital Flows]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 15 Sep 2025 14:08:10 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FODk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9919104d-f1f9-4a3e-9e7e-4f51b0eafddc_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1>Trade Write-Up: Big Bet, HYPD Update, And New Trade</h1><p>I laid out the <span class="cashtag-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;symbol&quot;:&quot;$HYPD&quot;}" data-component-name="CashtagToDOM"></span> thesis when we were trading in the $6-7 dollar range. Since this time, we have rallied over 100%. I want to provide an update and then explain the next bet I am thinking about.</p><div class="digest-post-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;nodeId&quot;:&quot;45bf3378-91cd-4a5a-be20-61d1e25bffab&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking&quot;,&quot;cta&quot;:&quot;Read full story&quot;,&quot;showBylines&quot;:true,&quot;showDescription&quot;:true,&quot;showImage&quot;:true,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;sm&quot;,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking&quot;,&quot;publishedBylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:123845415,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows is a private research publication on financial markets and the economy&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b3532e8d-544d-41f9-8962-3bfc289e03d2_1024x1024.jpeg&quot;,&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:1000}],&quot;post_date&quot;:&quot;2025-09-09T15:25:19.185Z&quot;,&quot;cover_image&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nV16!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5565ee04-eb95-423d-953f-3d8c943faa06_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;cover_image_alt&quot;:null,&quot;canonical_url&quot;:&quot;https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/the-big-macrocrypto-bet-i-am-taking&quot;,&quot;section_name&quot;:&quot;Trade Write-Ups&quot;,&quot;video_upload_id&quot;:null,&quot;id&quot;:173148440,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;reaction_count&quot;:58,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;publication_id&quot;:null,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vifO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffeddfb10-4e40-4262-a13b-55403e558f18_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;youtube_url&quot;:null,&quot;show_links&quot;:null,&quot;feed_url&quot;:null}"></div><div class="digest-post-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;nodeId&quot;:&quot;f60dea3d-5cb7-4123-82a6-9cdb167d9343&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking: VIDEO BREAKDOWN&quot;,&quot;cta&quot;:&quot;Read full story&quot;,&quot;showBylines&quot;:true,&quot;showDescription&quot;:true,&quot;showImage&quot;:true,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;sm&quot;,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking: VIDEO BREAKDOWN&quot;,&quot;publishedBylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:123845415,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows is a private research publication on financial markets and the economy&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b3532e8d-544d-41f9-8962-3bfc289e03d2_1024x1024.jpeg&quot;,&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:1000}],&quot;post_date&quot;:&quot;2025-09-10T06:15:56.893Z&quot;,&quot;cover_image&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2KE2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaddac9f-b194-4d83-8563-e2f1e6d1f2a3_1024x1536.png&quot;,&quot;cover_image_alt&quot;:null,&quot;canonical_url&quot;:&quot;https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/the-big-macrocrypto-bet-i-am-taking-d2c&quot;,&quot;section_name&quot;:&quot;Trade Write-Ups&quot;,&quot;video_upload_id&quot;:null,&quot;id&quot;:173233517,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;reaction_count&quot;:11,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;publication_id&quot;:null,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vifO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffeddfb10-4e40-4262-a13b-55403e558f18_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;youtube_url&quot;:null,&quot;show_links&quot;:null,&quot;feed_url&quot;:null}"></div><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png" width="1456" height="898" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:898,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:80868,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/i/173635784?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BKr5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20ce68a2-7772-441d-9b4a-4ae6d49055a2_2061x1271.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I would encourage everyone to review the credit cycle report I laid out here, explaining the liquidity context for WHERE we are: </p><div class="digest-post-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;nodeId&quot;:&quot;80e581ae-442f-4a4b-9242-77f4ce529455&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;Macro Report: Credit Cycle Trades&quot;,&quot;cta&quot;:&quot;Read full story&quot;,&quot;showBylines&quot;:true,&quot;showDescription&quot;:true,&quot;showImage&quot;:true,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;lg&quot;,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Macro Report: Credit Cycle Trades&quot;,&quot;publishedBylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:123845415,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows is a private research publication on financial markets and the economy&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b3532e8d-544d-41f9-8962-3bfc289e03d2_1024x1024.jpeg&quot;,&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:1000}],&quot;post_date&quot;:&quot;2025-09-13T00:33:04.911Z&quot;,&quot;cover_image&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VoRp!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc090c742-1c80-47ae-8b6d-3d31c277a452_680x680.png&quot;,&quot;cover_image_alt&quot;:null,&quot;canonical_url&quot;:&quot;https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/macro-report-credit-cycle-trades&quot;,&quot;section_name&quot;:&quot;Macro Reports&quot;,&quot;video_upload_id&quot;:null,&quot;id&quot;:173394886,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;reaction_count&quot;:36,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;publication_id&quot;:null,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Capital Flows&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vifO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffeddfb10-4e40-4262-a13b-55403e558f18_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;youtube_url&quot;:null,&quot;show_links&quot;:null,&quot;feed_url&quot;:null}"></div><div><hr></div><h1>Update on HYPD and New Bet:  </h1>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking: VIDEO BREAKDOWN]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Next MicroStrategy: The convergence of finance, crypto, and treasury companies]]></description><link>https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/the-big-macrocrypto-bet-i-am-taking-d2c</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/the-big-macrocrypto-bet-i-am-taking-d2c</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Capital Flows]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 10 Sep 2025 06:15:56 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2KE2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaddac9f-b194-4d83-8563-e2f1e6d1f2a3_1024x1536.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1>The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking: VIDEO BREAKDOWN</h1>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Next MicroStrategy: The convergence of finance, crypto, and treasury companies]]></description><link>https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/the-big-macrocrypto-bet-i-am-taking</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/p/the-big-macrocrypto-bet-i-am-taking</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Capital Flows]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 09 Sep 2025 15:25:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nV16!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5565ee04-eb95-423d-953f-3d8c943faa06_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1>The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking</h1><p>Bitcoin functions as a release valve for macro liquidity, absorbing capital when traditional financial systems are constrained by regulation and unable to channel excess flows efficiently. Blockchain technology amplifies this dynamic by disintermediating legacy gatekeepers, creating parallel markets that operate outside the jurisdiction of centralized authorities.</p><p>Treasury companies sit at the center of this transition, bridging regulated financial structures and unregulated crypto markets by buying digital assets outright and functioning as capital structures that can employ leverage. In the credit cycle we are in now, capital aggressively prices these treasury companies as they take on large positions, effectively turning them into high-beta proxies for liquidity flows.</p><p>The real edge, however, lies not in chasing what everyone is already watching, MSTR and the established BTC and ETH treasury plays, but in getting in early with an informational advantage. The entire question now is simple: what is the next MSTR? The following write-up frames the big bet I am taking, one that is not even on the radar of traditional financial players precisely because they remain fixated on the obvious treasury names, leaving a blind spot where true asymmetry exists.</p><div><hr></div><h1>THE TRADE: </h1>
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