Credit Cycle Blow-Off: The Boom Before the Bust
How the equity melt up is setting the stage for larger risks - for now we rally HIGHER
Credit Cycle Blow-Off: The Boom Before the Bust
Equities are still powering higher, but this is the moment to get absolute clarity on how far the rally can run—and when the red lights will start flashing. In today’s video, I break down the mechanics of the credit and liquidity cycle, then map them directly to where we are headed next.
Below are all of the cycle playbooks/educational primers (100% FREE) and the analysis for the current flows in the credit cycle (reserved for paid subscribers).
The Macroeconomic Framework of Capital Flows: A Comprehensive Playbook
Below are my full-cycle macro playbooks—frameworks that cut through market noise and map exactly how capital moves through the credit, liquidity, and risk curve across every phase of expansion and contraction.
Credit Cycle Playbook:
Path Dependent Framework For Capital Flows:
The S&P 500 Macro Regime Playbook:
The Bitcoin Macro Regime Playbook:
Bitcoin Indicator From Tradingview: LINK
Interest Rate Trading Playbook:
Macro Thesis Development Playbook:
Consumer Macroeconomic Playbook:
YouTube Channel:
You can find all of the videos I publish in the respective reports on the Substack or on the YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@CapitalFlowsResearch
All Macro Educational Primers:
![[FREE] Educational Primers On Every Aspect Of Macro & Markets](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tfas!,w_1300,h_650,c_fill,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69c49472-3d63-47f0-9b8c-2a682fa625f1_1024x1024.jpeg)
Credit Cycle Flows Analysis:
I want to take this moment to step back and lay out WHERE we stand with macro liquidity and HOW to interpret the signals that could point to either a continued rally OR the onset of a macro inflection point.
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