I Am Going To Lay Out My Trading And Investing Framework
LIVESTREAM/PROPIETARY REPORT
The livestream today laid out the complete trading and investing framework behind Capital Flows, from interest rates as the price of money to building conviction through evidence and coherence.
Main takeaways from the free section:
Everything in global macro starts with interest rates. They are the price of money that the entire economy and market turn on, and if you understand HOW the SOFR curve is pricing changes, you set the stage for capital allocation decisions across any time horizon.
Conviction is always research and evidence based. Aggressiveness and concentration get moderated by the amount of evidence supporting the view and the coherence of every moving part, not by equally weighted lists of bullish and bearish reasons.
Volatility is a function of time. The edge is having a different time horizon or risk tolerance than the market: get onsides intraday or intraweek, then use that cushion to hold the bigger picture view.
Cross asset confirmation frames every trade. The CADJPY flush on oil’s double top confirmed getting longer equities, and the Z6 contract’s floor into the July FOMC set the bottom in ZN that set the intraday bottom in ES, WHICH keeps the path pointed toward an all time high while people still say liquidity is contracting.
CME launches single stock futures on July 27. Overnight risk transfer on names like Oracle will change HOW hedging flows move the underlying stocks, and dislocations will increasingly trade around the clock.
All the educational primers now live in one spot. Foundations, the macro toolkit, asset class primers, the alpha generation series, country deep dives, a 360 paper research library, and the TradingView models are free and downloadable in one click.
The Macro Intelligence Hub, every educational primer, playbook, model, and the 360 paper research library synthesized in one free spot: LINK
You can find the free recording on the Trading and Investing Framework Playbook here in the YouTube video:
The member section connects this framework to the live regime and positioning, with the recording linked at the bottom of this report.
Macro Decks From today’s stream:
All slide decks by Jaymes: LINK
The Macro Intelligence Hub, every educational primer, playbook, model, and the 360 paper research library synthesized in one free spot: LINK
Tomorrow’s Livestream: SOFR, Interest Rate Volatility, and Macro Endgame
Tomorrow’s stream digs into SOFR, interest rate volatility, and WHERE the macro endgame is heading as CPI and the July FOMC approach. We will map HOW the SOFR curve is pricing the path from here and WHAT compressed rate volatility means for every asset built on top of it.
Paid subscribers can join the livestream with this link (the first half will be free and streamed to Twitter and YouTube, where the second half will only be available on Substack for paid subscribers):
Proprietary Report On Flows Into CPI And FOMC
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