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Macro Regime Tracker: 2-24-2025
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Macro Regime Tracker (Daily Systematic Strategies & Models)

Macro Regime Tracker: 2-24-2025

Daily Systematic Strategies & Models

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Capital Flows
Feb 25, 2025
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Macro Regime Tracker: 2-24-2025
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Macro Regime Tracker (Daily Systematic Strategies & Models)

The Macro Regime Tracker offers a daily lens on how shifts in growth, inflation, and liquidity affect short-term risk and reward. Leveraging machine learning and cross-asset data, it identifies macro changes and their impact on market positioning.

Launch video for the Macro Regime Tracker is here: Link


Macro Regime Tracker Index:

  • Macro Regime Context

  • Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities

  • Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates

  • Growth and Inflation Regime Tracker

  • Fixed Income and Credit Model

  • Equity Sector Model

  • Machine Learning Strategies and Models


Macro Regime Context:

Since Trump won the election in November of 2024, equity markets have been range-bound as the Fed has paused. Significant underlying rotations are taking place as the market is grinding in a range which means watching underlying equity sectors through positioning shocks carries outsized significance.

  • US Equities closed negative on the day with tech as the worst-performing sector. Part of this is due to the weaker response to earnings prints in the technology sector.

  • “*TRUMP: TARIFFS ON CANADA, MEXICO WILL GO FORWARD” - Tariff headlines continue to create marginal volatility in the FX market as bonds catch a marginal bid.

  • “*FED'S GOOLSBEE STILL SUPPORTS WAIT-AND-SEE ON TRUMP POLICIES”: Bull flattening continues to take place into Fed comments.

  • Alibaba’s U.S.-traded ADRs sank 10% on Monday, while the Nasdaq Golden Dragon index slid 5%—its worst drop since October. Although the White House partially walked back Trump’s tariff threats, Asian markets must still reprice trade-war risk. With the Bank of Korea expected to cut rates, investors should prepare for deeper volatility in the Asia session.


Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities

Macro Tear Sheets:

Tearsheet Crypto 20250225
4.81MB ∙ PDF file
Download
Download
Tearsheet Fi 20250225
15.8MB ∙ PDF file
Download
Download
Tearsheet Eq 20250225
19MB ∙ PDF file
Download
Download
Tearsheet Fx 20250225
17.7MB ∙ PDF file
Download
Download
Tearsheet Comd 20250225
34.5MB ∙ PDF file
Download
Download

Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates

Fred Analysis Dashboard V2025d
8.32MB ∙ XLSX file
Download
Download

Growth and Inflation Regime Tracker:

The Macro Regime Model first provides a real-time view of growth and inflation dynamics, then directly connects these insights to upcoming catalysts and the statistical measures that gauge their impact on asset prices.

(7-day free trials are available so you can review everything with zero downside: LINK)

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