Macro Regime Tracker: 3-11-2025 - ES Strategy Update
Macro regime and risk assets qualified clearly
Macro Regime Tracker (Daily Systematic Strategies & Models)
The Macro Regime Tracker offers a daily lens on how shifts in growth, inflation, and liquidity affect short-term risk and reward. Leveraging machine learning and cross-asset data, it identifies macro changes and their impact on market positioning.
The launch video for the Macro Regime Tracker is here: Link
Macro Regime Tracker Index:
Macro Regime Context
Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities
Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates
Growth and Inflation Regime Tracker
Fixed Income and Credit Model
Equity Sector Model
Machine Learning Strategies and Models
Macro Regime Context:
We continue to see cross-asset class volatility expand due to an unwind in the carry trade, a rotation of capital internationally, and a marginal weakening in growth. However, we are not seeing the conditions that would indicate an imminent recession. The framework for these tensions were laid out in the macro report here:
Comprehensive Macro Report: Geopolitics, The Risk In China, and The Carry Trade Unwind
The Monthly Macro Economic Report Is Below:
*US HOUSE PASSES STOPGAP FUNDING, BILL GOES TO SENATE
*TRUMP: INTEREST RATES ARE DROPPING
*TRUMP: TARIFFS HAVING TREMENDOUS IMPACT
*TRUMP: LOOKING AT BACKING DOWN ON THE 50% DUTIES ON CANADA
*S&P 500 SET TO ENTER CORRECTION AFTER FALLING 10% FROM RECORD
*GERMAN GREENS CO-LEADER SAYS HOPEFUL OF DEFENSE DEAL THIS WEEK
*TRUMP SAYS US DOESN'T NEED CANADA'S ENERGY, LUMBER, CARS
See the recent article written on AI & The New Age Of Learning here:
Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities
Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates
Growth and Inflation Regime Tracker:
The Macro Regime Model first provides a real-time view of growth and inflation dynamics, then directly connects these insights to upcoming catalysts and the statistical measures that gauge their impact on asset prices.
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