Macro Regime Tracker: Equity Risk?
Macro regime and risk assets qualified clearly
The Macro Regime Tracker offers a daily lens on how shifts in growth, inflation, and liquidity affect short-term risk and reward. Leveraging machine learning, AI, and cross-asset data, it identifies macro changes and their impact on market positioning.
Macro Regime Tracker Index:
Macro Regime Context
Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities
Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates
Growth, Inflation, Fixed Income, Credit, and Equities Regime Tracker
AI and Machine Learning Strategies - Macro Regime and Positioning Premiums Strategies: S&P 500, 2-Year Interest Rates, Gold, and Bitcoin
Macro Regime Context:
You can find the most recent Interest Rate Report here:
And a video breakdown of macro views here:
Main Developments In Macro
*FED'S WALLER SAYS MARKETS LOOKING FOR MORE FISCAL DISCIPLINE
*WALLER: EXPECTS FED TO CUT IN SECOND HALF 2025 IF TARIFFS DROP
*WALLER: NOT EXPECTING TARIFF PRICE HIKES TO BE PERSISTENT
*TRUMP URGES SENATE TO SEND TAX BILL TO HIM AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
*ECB'S GUINDOS: 2% TARGET TO BE REACHED `RELATIVELY QUICKLY'
*TRUMP, XI HAVE NOT SPOKEN SINCE GENEVA AGREEMENT: CNN
*CFTC'S MERSINGER: CRYPTO PERPETUAL FUTURES COULD TRADE IN US
*CFTC HAS CRYPTO PERPETUAL FUTURES APPLICATIONS BEFORE IT
*LEAVITT: TRUMP WILL GO TO G-7
*FED'S POWELL TO TESTIFY BEFORE HOUSE COMMITTEE JUNE 24
*PERLI: PRESSURE SEEN ESPECIALLY AT KEY REPORTING DATES
*NY FED'S PERLI SAYS HARD TO ESTIMATE WHAT IS 'AMPLE' RESERVES
*PERLI: SEE EARLY SIGNS OF PRESSURE IN REPO MARKET
*PERLI: DROP IN RESERVES TO PUT UPWARD PRESSURE ON MARKET RATES
*BOJ'S UEDA: WILL OF COURSE CLOSELY WATCH MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
*BOJ'S UEDA SAYS BIG UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN OVER TARIFF IMPACT
*HASSETT: I DISAGREE WITH DIMON'S VIEW ON STAGFLATION
*HASSETT: XI, TRUMP HAVE NOT SPOKEN ABOUT GENEVA
*HASSETT SAYS HE, BESSENT WILL LEAD SENATE TAX BILL TALKS
*LAGARDE: INTERNATIONAL TRADE WILL NEVER BE THE SAME AGAIN
*LAGARDE: G7 MEETINGS 'USEFUL' AND INCREASED UNDERSTANDING
Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities
Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates
Growth, Inflation, Fixed Income, Credit, and Equities Regime Tracker
The Macro Regime Model offers a real-time view of growth, inflation, and yield curve dynamics, integrating these with credit market shifts, equity risk premiums, and positioning data. It connects upcoming catalysts to statistical drivers of asset prices, creating a unified framework that quantifies skew and clarifies risk-reward across asset classes.
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