Macro Regime Tracker: The Supply Chain
Macro regime and risk assets qualified clearly
Macro Regime Tracker:
The Macro Regime Tracker offers a daily lens on how shifts in growth, inflation, and liquidity affect short-term risk and reward. Leveraging machine learning, AI, and cross-asset data, it identifies macro changes and their impact on market positioning.
Macro Regime Tracker Index:
Macro Regime Context
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Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates
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Macro Regime Context:
This was a very helpful chart I came across for the supply chain across various countries on solar. Part of the difficulty in predicting things is the inherent interdependencies of everything. The free market will always find a way for capital to flow to the most efficient place and these supply chain interdependencies create the conduit through which capital will be flowing.
Main Developments In Macro
*CHINA TO SET UP NEW FINANCING, POLICY TOOLS
*CHINA VOWS TO FULLY PREPARE EMERGENCY PLANS FOR EXTERNAL SHOCKS
*CHINA SAYS NOT HAVING NEGOTIATIONS WITH US ON TARIFFS: GUO
*US SEEKS INDIA TRADE DEAL ON E-COMMERCE, CROPS AND DATA STORAGE
*TRUMP: 'WE DON'T NEED ANYTHING FROM CANADA'
*TRUMP ON UKRAINE: `I THINK WE’RE GOING TO MAKE A DEAL'
*TRUMP: 'DON'T THINK' BUDGET WILL CUT $800B FROM MEDICAID
*TRUMP: DOING 90-DAY PAUSE UNTIL WE COME UP WITH NUMBERS I WANT
*TRUMP: REASON FOR 90-DAY PAUSE WASN'T THE BOND MARKET
*TRUMP: `LOVE' CONCEPT OF RAISING TAX ON WEALTHY
*TRUMP: BESSENT, LUTNICK 'DIDN'T TELL ME' TO DO 90-DAY PAUSE
*TRUMP SAYS TO ANNOUNCE DEALS OVER 'NEXT THREE TO FOUR WEEKS'
*TRUMP ASKED IF CHINA'S XI CALLED HIM, RESPONDS 'YEP'
*TRUMP ADMINISTRATION PRESSURES EUROPE TO REJECT AI RULEBOOK
*LAGARDE: DISINFLATION PROCESS IS WELL ON TRACK
*TRUMP: WON'T DROP CHINA TARIFFS UNLESS THEY GIVE US SOMETHING
*TRUMP SAYS ANOTHER TARIFF PAUSE IS UNLIKELY
Bessent to Testify Before House Committee on May 7
Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities
Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates
Growth, Inflation, Fixed Income, Credit, and Equities Regime Tracker
The Macro Regime Model offers a real-time view of growth, inflation, and yield curve dynamics, integrating these with credit market shifts, equity risk premiums, and positioning data. It connects upcoming catalysts to statistical drivers of asset prices, creating a unified framework that quantifies skew and clarifies risk-reward across asset classes.
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