Capital Flows

Capital Flows

The Factor That Will Force Traders To Buy Equities

LIVESTREAM/PROPIETARY REPORT

Capital Flows's avatar
Capital Flows
Jul 01, 2026
∙ Paid

The first section of today’s live stream broke down the equity risk curve and the factor that is quietly forcing traders to buy equities. We started from the popular claim that liquidity is contracting and everything is overbought, then went underneath it to the forces that actually move capital. If you were trying to understand why that contracting liquidity narrative falls apart once you look at the underlying data, why alpha always migrates to wherever change is greatest so capital keeps moving into AI over Bitcoin, and why a leveraged system forces traders out the risk curve rather than letting them sit in cash, this video explains all of it.

You can find the free recording on the Equity Risk Curve Playbook here in the YouTube video.

The free section is built to give you the full mechanics and the structural regime from first principles. The member section is where we take that foundation and connect it directly to the macro regime and positioning in real time. The recording of the live member section, where we take the equity risk curve into the live regime and connect it to macro liquidity, the credit cycle, cross border flows, and where rates and FX sit right now, is linked at the bottom of this report.

Macro Decks From today’s stream:

  • All slide decks by Jaymes: LINK

  • Deck from today: LINK


Tomorrow’s Livestream: Interest Rate Volatility Is Compressing For The Next Move

Tomorrow’s livestream will focus on how interest rate volatility is compressing for the next move and what that signals across every asset class. The core idea is that cross-asset volatility is collapsing into a single trade, where rate, equity, FX, and credit vol are all moving together. If you are trying to understand HOW the compression in each of these connects and WHY the changes building underneath are critical for the risks forming in the system, tomorrow’s stream will lay out and explain all of these factors.

Paid subscribers can join the livestream with this link (the first half will be free and streamed to Twitter and YouTube, where the second half will only be available on Substack for paid subscribers):

Stream Link For Paid Subscribers


Proprietary Report On The Factor That Will Force Traders To Buy Equities

Here is the proprietary report explaining HOW the equity risk curve connects to macro liquidity, the credit cycle, and where positioning sits across the regime:

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