The Trade Everyone Got Wrong (And What Comes Next)
Position has been taken out in a body bag
The Trade Everyone Got Wrong (And What Comes Next)
I recorded a video breaking down the macro view you need right now.
Crude went from $70 to $120 in days. The rate cut consensus that the entire market was positioned around got wiped out in a week. SONIA moved 45 basis points. EURIBOR flipped from pricing cuts to pricing hikes. The Fed is frozen.
Most of what you’re reading right now is explaining the oil move. That is not the analysis. The analysis is understanding how that move travels through a system that was built for the exact opposite regime, and finding the nodes that haven’t priced it yet.
Watch the video first. Then come back, because below it I’m going to show you exactly how I’m mapping the risk-reward across equities, rates, and crude using the agentic research system I’ve been building.
Positioning Risks and Mechanics:
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