Macro Regime Tracker: The Set UP
Macro regime and risk assets qualified clearly
The Macro Regime Tracker offers a daily lens on how shifts in growth, inflation, and liquidity affect short-term risk and reward. Leveraging machine learning, AI, and cross-asset data, it identifies macro changes and their impact on market positioning.
Macro Regime Tracker Index:
Macro Regime Context
Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities
Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates
Growth, Inflation, Fixed Income, Credit, and Equities Regime Tracker
AI and Machine Learning Strategies - Macro Regime and Positioning Premiums Strategies: S&P 500, 2-Year Interest Rates, Gold, and Bitcoin
Macro Regime Context:
See the context I laid out here for WHERE we are in the macro regime (I will be updating this with a report tomorrow for):
Main Developments In Macro
*FED’S BARR SAYS TRUMP TARIFFS ’WITHOUT MODERN PRECEDENT’
*BARR: EXPECT TARIFFS TO LEAD TO HIGHER INFLATION, LOWER GROWTH
*BARR: TARIFFS COULD CREATE PERSISTENT UPWARD PRESSURE ON INFL.
*TRUMP: CHINA SHOULD OPEN UP ITS MARKET TO USA
*TRUMP: 80% TARIFF ON CHINA SEEMS RIGHT
*TRUMP: GOP SHOULD NOT INCREASE TAXES ON RICH, BUT OK IF THEY DO
*TRUMP: I’M OK IF REPUBLICANS INCREASE TAX FOR THE RICH
*NAVARRO: EU VERY HIGH ON THE PRIORITY LIST IN TRADE TALKS
*BOSTIC: 2025 ECONOMY TO BE LESS RESILIENT THAN EARLIER EXPECTED
Macro Tear Sheets: Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Crypto, and Commodities
Macro Regime Dashboard: Excel spreadsheet for economic data and interest rates
Growth, Inflation, Fixed Income, Credit, and Equities Regime Tracker
The Macro Regime Model offers a real-time view of growth, inflation, and yield curve dynamics, integrating these with credit market shifts, equity risk premiums, and positioning data. It connects upcoming catalysts to statistical drivers of asset prices, creating a unified framework that quantifies skew and clarifies risk-reward across asset classes.
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