PURR Gamma Squeeze: The Setup That Could Send the Stock to a Massive Multiple of the Underlying
Why the call skew is positioning for a GameStop-style gamma squeeze in PURR, and why the credit cycle melt up is the macro engine that changes how aggressively the thesis needs to be played
Today, Jaymes and I broke down the gamma squeeze setup developing in PURR and why call buying volume into Friday’s close was the highest we have seen to date in the name. When new information comes to light and positioning escalates, the thesis has to adjust. By the end of this, you will know the mechanics of why a gamma squeeze in PURR is now a high-probability outcome and why this remains my largest concentrated bet:
Today’s Livestream: Main Talking Points
1. PURR hit 13 dollars on the Hyperliquid DApp last night, and call buying volume into Friday’s close was the highest we have seen to date in the name. The call skew is rising at the same time as the price is rising, which is the signature setup for a gamma squeeze. This is no longer just an asymmetric bet on the underlying value proposition.
2. The thesis has escalated to a probable gamma squeeze that pushes PURR to trade at a significant multiple of the underlying tokens. A gamma squeeze occurs when dealers are short calls and forced to hedge into rising vol by buying the underlying. With strikes only listed to 18 dollars across all expirations on a low float stock, every higher strike that gets listed compounds the squeeze pressure.
3. GameStop is the cleanest historical analog and the squeeze happened in two legs. The first leg was shorts getting squeezed out, which is the smaller move. The second leg was retail piling into calls and dealers being forced to hedge by buying the underlying, which is where the parabolic move came from.
4. The Russell adding Hyperliquid is the passive flow catalyst that stacks on top of the gamma squeeze setup. Passive flows are mechanically forced buyers regardless of price. Adding the index inclusion to the rising call skew and the low float means three independent buyers are competing for the same shares.
5. Hyperliquid rallying while Bitcoin lags falsifies the entire crypto correlation framework. People said Hyperliquid would drag down with Bitcoin and miss the entire point. The cash flows of hyperliquid are shifting their source from crypto to traditional markets through HIP-III, which means the correlation structure has to shift with the underlying flow.
6. Real interest rates are still near zero and credit spreads remain suppressed. Risk seeking capital is concentrating into the winner take all disruptors. Hyperliquid sits at the nexus of every major US financial system disruption happening right now: perpetuals, 24-7 trading, prediction markets, IPOs trading pre-launch. Filter by disruption, not by what rallied in the past cycle.
7. The AI capex build-out is functioning like a commodity market with supply and demand imbalances, not like a PE multiple story. Mag Seven names are behaving more like oil producers locking in prices to hedge supply against demand. That framework explains why rates rising have not crushed the rally and why software through IGV and Oracle is leading.
8. Position sizing is the entire game from here. Do not chase, but do not abandon the thesis either. If you bought at 13 yesterday and you are nervous, size down to where you can sleep through the volatility. If you have been long since sub-350, the thesis got stronger, not weaker.
Slide Deck and Playbooks
Here is the slide deck from today:
The entire gamma squeeze thesis:
As a reminder, I continue to hold my ORCL long as well. The spot trade and calls I bought are up massively. I continue to hold the risk. Calls are up 366% since I bought them. Everything was laid out here:
Tomorrow’s Livestream: Special Guest on Bitcoin, Hyperliquid, and Global Macro Flows
Tomorrow I will have a special guest on to break down Bitcoin, Hyperliquid, and how global macro flows are driving both.
TOMORROW’S LIVESTREAM: LINK
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