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[FREE] Educational Primers On Every Aspect Of Macro & Markets

A summary of all educational articles, models, and book recommendations
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Labor, Growth, and Inflation: How Interest Rates Drive the Credit Cycle
Why 1-year real rates at 45bps from zero is the most significant chart in macro right now, how inaction is the Fed's liquidity impulse, and why the…
 • Capital Flows
Decoding the Warsh Testimony: What the Next Fed Chair Actually Said
Why inflation is "the Fed's choice," how the interest rate tool vs balance sheet framework reshapes liquidity
 • Capital Flows
Real Estate, Mortgage Rates, and the Second Leg of the Credit Cycle
Why the 2008 comparison is getting falsified by the data, how the XLRE and ITB divergence maps to real rates, and why negative real rates would unlock…
 • Capital Flows
Pair Trades and Derivative Expressions for the Next Leg
Why capital is moving out the risk curve, where the short squeezes are setting up, and why real estate is breaking every 2008 comparison narrative
 • Capital Flows
Positioning Unwinds and the Next Leg of the Melt-Up
Crude flushing, vol crushing, real rates 55bps from negative, and why path dependency matters more than price levels heading into the weekend
 • Capital Flows
Surplus Countries, Deficit Countries, and the FX Endgame
Why global trade imbalances drive FX, why Bessent, Warsh, and Miran were put in place to unwind them, and how the dollar's reserve currency status is…
 • Capital Flows
Cross-Border Flows, the Dollar Devaluation, and the Global Trade Rebalancing
Why money never functions in a vacuum, and what the asset liability web tells you about where capital is actually going
 • Capital Flows
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Capital Flows Research gives active investors a daily, actionable macro map of rates, credit, FX, and equities so their positioning stays aligned with the prevailing regime instead of getting blindsided by it.
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