Sitemap - 2025 - Capital Flows

Macro Regime Tracker: Market Cycles

Trade Write-Up: Big Bet, HYPD Update, And New Trade

Macro Regime Tracker: Credit Cycle Trades

Macro Report: Credit Cycle Trades

Macro Regime Tracker: Macro Views

Macro Regime Tracker: HYPD, credit cycle, and inflation

The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking: VIDEO BREAKDOWN

Macro Regime Tracker: Crypto Flows

The Big Macro/Crypto Bet I am taking

Macro Regime Tracker: The Bitcoin Play

Macro Liquidity and Positioning In Bitcoin/MSTR

2025 Guide to Interest Rates: Navigating the Price of Money

Macro Regime Tracker: Interest Rate Curve

Macro Regime Tracker: Melt Up Mode In ES

Macro Regime Tracker: Volatility

Macro Report: The Contagion Effect: Volatility’s Hidden Path Through the Economy

Macro Regime Tracker: Is the labor market at risk?

Will The Market Collapse In September?

Dissecting FX Volatility: Yield Differentials, Fiscal Tensions, and Political Turbulence

Macro Regime Tracker: End of week

Macro Regime Tracker: The RALLY

Inflation Isn’t Transitory — It’s the New Macro Order (FREE INFLATION CYCLE PLAYBOOK)

Macro Regime Tracker: NVDA and Credit Flows

Trade Write-Up: VIDEO UPDATE ON MACRO FLOWS

Macro Regime Tracker: The Credit Cycle Set Up

Trade Write-Up: BITCOIN Flows Analysis and Trade Implications

Trade Write-Up: OPENING

Constructing US Bond Futures Spreads

Macro Regime Tracker: Updated Macro Views and Models

The Fed’s Policy Turn: New Outlooks for Rates, Equities, and Bitcoin

Macro Regime Tracker: The One Trade

One Trade to Rule Them All: Interest Rates

NEW MODEL - How Are Interest Rates Moving The S&P500

Macro Regime Tracker: Long End Rates Making The Move

Macro Report: The End Game For Global Liquidity - VIDEO BREAKDOWN

Macro Regime Tracker: The End Game For Global Liquidity

Macro Report: The End Game For Global Liquidity

Macro Regime Tracker: Equity Risk Into Jackson Hole

Macro Regime Tracker: Interest Rate Risk

Rate Cuts and Inflation: Mapping Relationships Into Jackson Hole

Terminal Rate: Reading the Endgame in STIR Curves

Macro Regime Tracker: Policy Error

From Cuts to Credibility: U.S. Policy Progression Into Jackson Hole

Macro Regime Tracker: PPI and Inflation Risk

Macro Regime Tracker: The Credit Cycle Playbook

Credit Cycle Blow-Off: The Boom Before the Bust

Trade Update: Update On Bond and Impact On Equities

Macro Regime Tracker: Post CPI Analysis

Macro Regime Tracker: Heading Into CPI

Memecoins as a Liquidity Mirror: Tracing the Flow from Global Capital to Cultural Tokens

Interest Rate Report: Inflation Risk Is GREATER Than Recession Risk

Macro Regime Tracker: Updated Models

Interest Rates and Macro Volatility: Understanding the Forces Moving Markets

Macro Regime Tracker: The Melt Up Scenario

Trade Update: Video Breakdown Of Trades And Macro Views

Macro Regime Tracker: The Equity Rally

Macro End Game With Global Liquidity

Trade Write-Up: Yield Curve and The Nikkei

Macro Regime Tracker: The Credit Cycle

Macro Video Breakdown: Equities, Bonds and Bitcoin

From Prosperity to Panic: The Credit Cycle Every Nation Follows

Trade Write-Up: Shifting Regime From Neutral To The Next Move

Monetary Policy And The Sins Of Central Bankers

Alpha Report: Equity Breadth, Dispersion, and The Risk Curve

Trade Write Up: The Macro Trade

Macro Regime Tracker: The Bitcoin Drawdown

Comprehensive Macro Report: Video Breakdown of Equities, Bonds, and Bitcoin

Comprehensive Macro Report: Navigating the Uncertainty Trifecta

Macro Regime Tracker: Post FOMC Models

Is This The Market Top?

Macro Regime Tracker: FOMC RISK

Did The Fed Just Leak Its Plan To Markets?

Macro Regime Tracker: The risks in macro

When the Fed Fights the Market: Who Wins?

Macro Regime Tracker: Pre-FOMC

Liquidity Tides and Strategic Positioning in Bitcoin and Gold

Observations Of The Credit Cycle Moving Into FOMC

Macro Regime Tracker: Managing Risk

Strategic Positioning: Rates, Curves, Currencies

Macro Regime Tracker: Understanding The Cycle

The Credit Cycle Is Built on the Consumer—and Will End With Them

A Word Of Caution Amidst The Melt Up

Macro Regime Tracker: The Melt Up Continues

Macro Regime Tracker: The Divergence In Flows

This Credit Cycle Was Made by Central Banks—and Will End With Them

The Credit Cycle, Money, and Monetary Correlations

Macro Regime Tracker: The Powell Fade

When Central Banks Lose Control: Rates and Risk

Macro Regime Tracker: Bond Market Volatility

Macro Regime Tracker: CPI set up

The Melt-Up Before the Collapse: Building a Testable Thesis in Real Time Across Equities and Bitcoin

Macro Regime Tracker: The BTC Melt UP

Macro Regime Tracker: Macro views

Macro Regime Tracker: The Fed is in a corner

Markets Are Forcing the Fed’s Hand—and the Curve Shows It

Macro Regime Tracker: The Positioning Squeeze

Betting Against the Dollar Is the New Crowded Trade

Central Banks on the Edge: The Global Cost of Policy Error

Macro Regime Tracker: USA

The Credit Cycle Melt Up And Coming Crash

Macro Regime Tracker: Bitcoin Melt UP

Alpha Report: Interest Rates and the labor market

Macro Regime Tracker: The Macro End Game

Macro Regime Tracker: The Yield Curve Signal

Comprehensive Macro Report: Global Macro Inflection Point

Macro Regime Tracker: Disbelief In The Rally

Macro Regime Tracker: Equities Making Their Run

Macro Regime Tracker: The Rally

Alpha Report: The Fed, The Credit Cycle, and the risk of inaction

Macro Regime Tracker: Powell’s Mistake

Alpha Report: The capitulation

Macro Regime Tracker: Geopolitical Flows

Macro Regime Tracker: Flows

Macro Regime Tracker: FOMC Flows

Alpha Report: Post-FOMC and Impact On Equities/Rates

Macro Regime Tracker: PRE-FOMC

Alpha Report: Interest Rates In The Global System

Macro Regime Tracker: Macro Liquidity

Trade Write-Ups: Geopolitical Risk and Inflation

Macro Regime Tracker: Week Ahead

Macro Report Part 2: Equities to ATH or new lows?

Geopolitical Risk Video Breakdown: Crude, Equities, Bonds

Macro Regime Tracker: Crude Risk

Macro Report: How Strong Is Growth and Inflation?

Macro Regime Tracker: Post CPI

Alpha Report: Neutral Bonds/Bullish Equities Until FOMC

Macro Regime Tracker: Higher inflation incoming

Trade Write-Ups: CPI and FOMC Set Up In Bonds

Macro Regime Tracker: The Set Up Into CPI

Alpha Report: Crypto and Macro Liquidity

Trade Write-Ups: Short Squeeze

Alpha Report: The Credit Cycle, Risk Curve, And Macro Inflection Point

Macro Regime Tracker: Review

Macro Regime Tracker: Inflation and Equity Beta

Alpha Report: A systematic dismantling of market expectations

Macro Regime Tracker: Equity Rally Is Coming

Macro Regime Tracker: NO RECESSION

Alpha Report: STIR pricing and NFP

Momentum and Mean Reversion Model Launch! (FREE)

Macro Regime Tracker: The Volatility Regime

Macro Report: On The Edge Of Volatility

Macro Regime Tracker: Tariff and Taxes

Bitcoin and Its Emerging Market Structure

Alpha Report: Risk Management In Bonds

Macro Regime Tracker: Real Estate Cycle

Macro Model For Real Estate: Educational Primer, Spreadsheet, and Report

Macro Regime Tracker: Tariff Unwind

Macro Regime Tracker: GDP Print

Macro Regime Tracker: Week Ahead

Week Ahead: Equity/Bond Levels

Macro Regime Tracker: Interest Rate Views

Alpha Report: Interest Rate Update

Macro Regime Tracker: Equity Risk?

Interest Rate Report: The risks are mounting

Macro Regime Tracker: Macro Volatility Is Here

Alpha Report: BOND MARKET CRASH

Macro Regime Tracker: Crude is ripping

Macro Regime Tracker: July SOFR

Alpha Report: JULY SOFR / Bond Levels

Macro Regime Tracker: Central Baaanker

Alpha Report: False Narratives About "Don't Fight The Fed"

Trade Write-Ups: Flows and Levels

Macro Regime Tracker: No recession

Macro Regime Tracker: Blood in the streets

Alpha Report: Inflation and Interest Rates

Macro Regime Tracker: The Credit Cycle

Alpha Report: The Credit Cycle, Bond Market Crash, and Final Capitulation

Macro Regime Tracker: Inflation risk

Intraday Correlations and Volatility: A Primer

Trade Write-Ups: THE NEXT LEVERAGE MACRO BET

Macro Regime Tracker: The Set UP

Trapped by Trade: Central Banks and the Impossible Trinity

Alpha Report: Inflation Risk and Positioning Signals

Macro Regime Tracker: The Fed's Mistake

Macro Regime Tracker: Trading Talk and Macro Bets

Trade Write-Ups: Macro Bet

Capital Flows Discount For Early Adopters - 31% Off For The Next 10 Days

Macro Regime Tracker: Crude and FOMC

Macro Regime Tracker: Buybacks, Softbank, and Bitcoin

Credit Cycle Model: Playbook Development

Macro Regime Tracker: Interest Rates Are Making Their Move

Trade Write-Ups: Update On Positioning

Trade Write-Ups: Duration and Capital Flows

Trade Write-Ups: LEVERAGED TRADE IDEA

Macro Regime Tracker: The Credit Cycle

Credit Cycle Playbook: Redundency Planning

Macro Regime Tracker: Where are equities going?

Trade Write-Ups: Bonds and FX

Macro Regime Tracker: Bessent vs China

Macro Regime Tracker: STIR Flows

Alpha Report: STIR and Macro Flows

MAG7 Models: Positioning and Macro Views

Macro Regime Tracker: The Supply Chain

Macro Regime Tracker: The Next Stage For Equities

Worldview, AI, and Economics

Macro Regime Tracker: Update on Bitcoin and Equities

Alpha Report: Interest Rate Views

Macro Regime Tracker: Equity view coming together

Alpha Report: ES at 5200

Alpha Report: Drones and a flight to "safety"

Comprehensive Macro Report: Geopolitical Trades With Tariffs

Macro Regime Tracker: New Geopolitical Risk

Macro Regime Tracker: Positioning Risk

Macro Regime Tracker: Tariffs and Risk Flows Are Changing

Alpha Report: The curve and duration (TLT)

Macro Regime Tracker: How to build a macro process

Macro Regime Tracker: Strategy Update

Macro Regime Tracker: Thesis Confirmed, How High Now?

Macro Regime Tracker: China and the yuan risk

Intraday Update: Risks In China With The Yuan

Macro Regime Tracker: Bottom In Equities?

Trade Write-Ups: Opening

Intraday Update: Long End

Alpha Report: The Unwind In Risk Assets

Macro Regime Tracker: Equity Sell Off

Macro Regime Tracker: Tariff Risk and Equities

Special Announcement! New Bitcoin Strategy, ES Strategy, Gold Strategy, and 2 Year Strategy

Macro Regime Tracker: EURUSD and Tariff Clearing Event

Macro Regime Tracker: Equities moving up OR down?

AI & The New Age Of Economics

Alpha Report: EURUSD and The Eurozone Regime Shift

Macro Regime Tracker: Global Carry Trade Unwind

Macro Regime Tracker: Bitcoin and Equities

Macro Regime Tracker: Downside for equities?

Macro Regime Tracker: The next stage of the cycle

How Banking Connects To Macro Flows

Macro Regime Tracker: Equity Skew

Alpha Report: The Risks and Signals In Banking

Macro Regime Tracker: Week Ahead and Geopolitical Risks

Positioning in SOFR and Crude

Macro Regime Tracker: The direction of equities

Trade Write-Ups: Macro Video Explaining Trades

Macro Regime Tracker: How Is Powell Shifting?

Trade Write-Ups: Bonds and Credit Trades

Macro Regime Tracker: How Much Downside In Equities?

How Much Risk Is Priced In Markets?

Alpha Report: Credit Risk and Recession Risk In The US

Macro Regime Tracker: How Powell's Speech Will Impact Markets

Trade Write-Ups: Equities, Bonds, and Bitcoin

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-14-2025 - ES Strategy Update

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-13-2025 - ES Strategy Update

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-12-2025 - ES Strategy Update

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-11-2025 - ES Strategy Update

AI & The New Age Of Learning

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-10-2025 - ES Strategy Update

Comprehensive Macro Report: Geopolitics, The Risk In China, and The Carry Trade Unwind

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-7-2025 - ES Strategy Update

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-6-2025 (FREE) - ES Strategy Update

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-5-2025

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-4-2025 - Equity Strategy Update

Intraday Market Update: Equities In The RED

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-3-2025

Alpha Report: Interest Rate Strategy

Macro Regime Tracker: 3-1-2025

Trade Write-Ups: SOFR, Central Banks, and Recession Risk

Macro Regime Tracker: 2-27-2025

Capital Flows Podcast: Central Banks, The Carry Trade, Equities, and Bitcoin

Alpha Report: Central Banks and Tariffs

Macro Regime Tracker: 2-26-2025

Macro Regime Tracker: 2-25-2025

Trade: Intraday Update

Trade: Update

Macro Regime Tracker: 2-24-2025

Macro Regime Tracker: Launch - New Models

Trade: Update

Alpha Report: The gaps in the markets pricing

Alpha Report: Week Ahead

Alpha Report: Asymmetrical Information

Alpha Report: The implications of CPI on interest rates and equities

Intraday Update: How Tariffs And A Fed Pause Connect To Price Action

Trade: Opening

Comprehensive Macro Report

Trade: Opening

Macro Video: Is there downside in equities?

Trade: Long MSTR

Trade: Opening

Alpha Report: How tariffs interact with the macro regime

Alpha Report: Tariffs

Trade: Opening

Trade: Opening

Podcast With Seth The Quant

Trade: Update

Macro Podcast: Macro View and Geopolitical Risks

The Risk Of China And It's Geopolitical Implications On Global Liquidity

Trades: Opening Macro Trades

Trade: Important Equity Market Update

Alpha Report: FOMC

Alpha Report: Equities, Implied Correlations, and Vol

Equity and Bitcoin Downside: Macro Video

Alpha Report: Equity views and the Trump economy

Alpha Report: Consumption Model/Update On Short Equities View

Alpha Report: Carry Trade and BoJ

Podcast With Josh Schultz: How Macro Impacts Small Businesses

Macro Tear Sheets and Inaguration Takeaways

The Trump Administration Is A Massive Risk For Crypto

Macro Podcast: Short Equities View

Trade: Opening

Trade: SHORT EQUITIES

Macro Podcast Explaining CPI, Equities, Rates, Bitcoin, and Crude

Trade: Opening

Trade: CPI Oppurtunity

New CPI Model/Macro Tear Sheets: Hedging Unwind Into CPI

Podcast With Lord Fed

Comprehensive Macro Report

Macro Dashboard Update/Macro Tear Sheets

Macro Video/Macro Tear Sheets

Alpha Report: Tear Sheets, Positioning Premiums, and The Dollar

Macro Tear Sheets Video

Alpha Report: Macro Tear Sheets, Crude, Curve Regimes

Macro Flows and Bitcoin

Macro Tear Sheets: Fixed Income and Bitcoin

Alpha Report: Transmission Of Interest Rates Into Growth